• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1811

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Aug 4 04:57:14 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 040457
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 040456=20
    MNZ000-IAZ000-040630-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1811
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1156 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024

    Areas affected...southern MN into far north-central IA

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 593...

    Valid 040456Z - 040630Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 593
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated thunderstorms may pose a risk for marginally
    severe hail and strong gusts for another hour or two across southern
    MN. Storm intensity should gradually wane with southward extent.

    DISCUSSION...An isolated cell on the western flank of the southward
    progressing cluster over southern MN may continue to pose a risk for
    marginally severe hail and strong gusts in the short term. However,
    convection has gradually been weakening over the past hour or so as
    inhibition increases and instability decreases with southward
    extent. Outflow from convection further to the east has also been
    progressing westward across southeast MN, further limiting the warm
    sector airmass. Given trends, a downstream watch is not expected.

    ..Leitman.. 08/04/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!91gwlHxij042ZCkU-4XBJ5hl4XLfQnTHXXMgfIcwmsNmcXENqMuqeqWGBkPU2TNJLymv2gq1z= W1dudpviCDzAG6sj6A$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...DMX...

    LAT...LON 45039330 44109223 43869221 43499241 43219291 43159343
    43219405 43389449 44619510 44769516 45039330=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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