• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1869

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Aug 9 00:01:53 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 090001
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 090001=20
    AZZ000-090130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1869
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0701 PM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024

    Areas affected...Portions of Central/Southern Arizona

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 090001Z - 090130Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe wind gusts remain possible into
    the early evening in parts of central/southern Arizona.

    DISCUSSION...A recent observed wind gust from the Tucson airport of
    61 kts continues to suggest the potential for strong to severe wind
    gusts exists in parts of central/southern Arizona. Outflow is also
    becoming more evident on KIWA radar imagery. This outflow is
    generally moving toward the Phoenix metro area. Strong to severe
    wind gusts are possible as this occurs. Additional thunderstorms may
    also develop as these outflow propagate into the lower deserts and
    potentially interact with one another. These storms could produce
    equally strong downburst winds given the very steep low-level lapse
    rates.

    ..Wendt/Thompson.. 08/09/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-z9gnWQD12O9xy3EaY86IReLTzknGO2aokAyxPRhWgsPbwgEXmeDM8quptL2aObLLjjMYfVOz= pBJwr-i0n66e0H3qxk$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...

    LAT...LON 33691315 34121249 34261196 33691113 32591069 32201078
    32071112 32211176 33691315=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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