• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1415

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 23 07:24:13 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 230724
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 230723=20
    MNZ000-WIZ000-230900-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1415
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0223 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

    Areas affected...northeast MN

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 230723Z - 230900Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated strong storms may produce gusty winds and
    marginal hail over the next few hours across parts of northeast
    Minnesota.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of elevated storms has become somewhat better
    organized recently as the clusters move northeast along an
    instability gradient and within moderate vertical shear on the
    western periphery of a low-level jet. Regional 00z RAOBs and latest
    SPC Mesoanalysis indicated steep lapse rates are present over the
    region downstream from the ongoing cluster. Sporadic strong gusts
    and isolated marginal hail may occur with this activity. However,
    overall severe potential is expected to remain limited/transient and
    a watch is not currently expected, though trends will continue to be
    monitored.

    ..Leitman/Mosier.. 06/23/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8nE_D9ELtOQrPUrXTW5e0-zGDLRZE1KsZ__qmVWcXyen_0dLX7pH-ouNDoQG7YI7YtKKs-jhJ= euKOPE24sFyFm0Cb9M$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...

    LAT...LON 46679459 48299322 48419218 47949112 46539188 45849297
    45619396 45589453 45949484 46679459=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)